Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.117595 0.130975 0.144656 0.159655 0.175597 0.192001 0.210120
2024-10-20 0.099695 0.118049 0.137504 0.159536 0.183671 0.209187 0.238090
2024-10-27 0.085709 0.107224 0.130761 0.158158 0.188918 0.222151 0.260533
2024-11-03 0.076403 0.100407 0.127406 0.159579 0.196443 0.236972 0.284507
2024-11-10 0.070213 0.096422 0.126629 0.163351 0.206150 0.253878 0.310554
2024-11-17 0.062894 0.090381 0.122857 0.163126 0.210839 0.264772 0.329564
2024-11-24 0.058834 0.087907 0.122981 0.167189 0.220272 0.280928 0.354463
2024-12-01 0.053882 0.083880 0.120867 0.168266 0.225944 0.292554 0.374027
2024-12-08 0.048791 0.079266 0.117687 0.167748 0.229468 0.301487 0.390328
2024-12-15 0.044873 0.075891 0.115815 0.168624 0.234500 0.312072 0.408477
2024-12-22 0.040622 0.071741 0.112681 0.167691 0.237139 0.319670 0.423005
2024-12-29 0.038430 0.070288 0.112940 0.170957 0.244880 0.333348 0.444740
2025-01-05 0.035249 0.067284 0.111085 0.171534 0.249389 0.343318 0.462350
2025-01-12 0.032072 0.064045 0.108728 0.171312 0.252789 0.351881 0.478252
2025-01-19 0.028769 0.060352 0.105542 0.169824 0.254452 0.358225 0.491419
2025-01-26 0.026683 0.058382 0.104640 0.171286 0.259826 0.369113 0.510104
2025-02-02 0.025501 0.057760 0.105596 0.175219 0.268375 0.383957 0.533662
2025-02-09 0.023229 0.055172 0.103574 0.174979 0.271420 0.391883 0.548717
2025-02-16 0.022345 0.054844 0.104821 0.179222 0.280336 0.407195 0.572914
2025-02-23 0.020719 0.053106 0.103878 0.180346 0.285094 0.417247 0.590612
2025-03-02 0.018812 0.050707 0.101818 0.179804 0.287570 0.424365 0.604649
2025-03-09 0.017392 0.049069 0.100832 0.180719 0.291948 0.433881 0.621675
2025-03-16 0.015670 0.046702 0.098595 0.179744 0.293713 0.440011 0.634440